While the PIIGS are currently enduring relatively high debt loads, it is noteworthy how some of the relatively safe nations/bond markets (e.g. United State and Germany) are not far behind.
Thursday, July 26, 2012
Debt Levels Relative to GDP of PIIGS and Some Other Major Countries
For some perspective on the European sovereign debt crisis
, this chart illustrates the forecasted 2012 debt to GDP ratio
for each of the PIIGS (red bars) plus a handful of today's major economies (blue bars).
While the PIIGS are currently enduring relatively high debt loads, it is noteworthy how some of the relatively safe nations/bond markets (e.g. United State and Germany) are not far behind.
These relatively high debt loads are of concern as they could lead
to higher taxes sometime in the future and can risk fiscal crises if
bond holders sense an increasing risk of default.
The current crisis in Europe provides a clear example of the bond market
's reaction (i.e. higher bond yields) to increased default fears.
This leads to a very interesting case study that is Japan. With a
debt to GDP ratio of over 200%, the Japanese 10-year bond yield is a
relatively low 0.83%. Why? At the moment, the bond market feels that the
Japanese have the ability to repay their debts -- in part due to
Japan's perceived ability to raise taxes.
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